Free sports betting formulas pdf

Free sports betting formulas pdf

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In this system, the line number increases as the likelihood of winning decreases, and the line number decreases as the likelihood of winning increases.

Conversely, a favorite is more likely to win than a favorite.

Bettors can convert these line numbers into an implied probability.

Weighing bets by expected value gives sharp bettors a fundamental advantage over most other bettors and one of the few edges they can take against a sportsbook.

The best NFL bettors make a habit of finding value early in the week.

By Thursday, oddsmakers have adjusted their lines, and in an efficient market like the NFL, value bets are only available for a short time before the market catches.

A casual bettor is more like a roulette player hoping their color is called.
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